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一 | 当下的乌克兰，局势几乎到了山穷水尽的地步。
Airmen take part in the China-Belarus Swift Eagle 2026 joint training at an air force base in China in August 2026. Photo: PLA Air ForceIn August, the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Air Force is actively conducting joint training with three countries - Belarus, Thailand and Egypt - across three distant regions, with some training content and footage already released by official sources.
A Chinese military affairs expert said the simultaneous execution of different exercises in three countries demonstrates the PLA Air Force's strategic capabilities, extending beyond homeland deployment to overseas missions.
The PLA Air Force announced on Thursday that the China-Belarus Swift Eagle 2026 airborne joint training, which opened at a PLA Air Force training center on August 12, entered its comprehensive exercise phase on Wednesday.
Earlier, participating troops from both sides had completed basic training and coordinated refinement at the training center, laying a solid foundation for the exercise upgrade, said the PLA Air Force.
During the earlier training phase, Chinese and Belarusian troops were organized into mixed groups, learning from each other and conducting specialized drills on designated subjects. Between missions, the two sides also organized friendly sports activities, including football and tug-of-war matches, along with other cultural exchange events.
As planned, the next phase will feature full-element comprehensive drills in a combat-realistic setting, focusing on honing joint command and coordinated operational capabilities, deepening practical military cooperation, and jointly enhancing the ability to conduct joint counter-terrorism missions, said the PLA Air Force.
This marks the fourth iteration of the "Swift Eagle" series joint training between China and Belarus. Details on the equipment deployed by both sides have not yet been disclosed.
Wang Ya'nan, editor-in-chief of the Beijing-based Aerospace Knowledge magazine, told the Global Times that Belarus is likely to follow its traditional practices, focusing on low-altitude small-scale airborne operations, possibly using Il-76 large transport aircraft, while China might deploy Y-9 or Y-20 transport aircraft for low-altitude delivery.
The joint training is not a one-way learning exercise, but rather a process of building a cooperative foundation and familiarizing both sides with each other's operational habits in the counter-terrorism domain, Wang Ya'nan said.
Shortly before the China-Belarus drill entered its new phase, Senior Colonel Chen Xi, spokesperson for China's Ministry of National Defense, announced on August 14 that from mid-August to early September, the Chinese and Egyptian air forces would hold the Eagles of Civilization 2026 joint training in Egypt.
The training will focus on subjects such as air combat tactics, air superiority operations, and combat search and rescue, and will include force employment drills. As the second iteration of its kind, the joint training will further enhance mutual trust and traditional friendship, deepen substantive cooperation between the Chinese and Egyptian militaries, and contribute to regional peace and stability, Chen said.
In May 2025, Ministry of National Defense spokesperson Senior Colonel Zhang Xiaogang briefed that from April 17 to May 4 of that year, the air forces of China and Egypt held the first "Eagles of Civilization 2025" joint training at an Egyptian air force base.
Some of the main warplanes participating in the China-Egypt "Eagles of Civilization 2025" joint air force exercise form formation and fly over the Pyramids at very low altitudes in Cairo, Egypt on May 1, 2025. Photo: Courtesy of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Air ForceThe Chinese Air Force dispatched J-10C, KJ-500 and YY-20 aircraft to participate in the training. This was the first time that China sent force packages to Africa for joint training, during which the two sides conducted drills on such subjects as air superiority operations, suppression of enemy air defenses (SEAD), battlefield search and rescue, and mixed grouping. Discussions and exchanges on training models, air combat tactics and aerial refueling were also held, Zhang said.
Wang Yunfei, a Chinese military affairs expert, told the Global Times on Thursday that China and Egypt enjoy good military relations, and their joint exercise further enhanced mutual understanding and friendship.
The two countries' air forces share some similar training methods and tactics, and the joint exercise could pave the way for potential equipment cooperation in the future, Wang Yunfei said, noting that the Egyptian side will get an opportunity to closely observe the Chinese warplanes' capabilities.
Wang Yunfei also mentioned that, as flying to Egypt is a long-distance flight, such maneuvers could boost the PLA Air Force's long-distance combat capabilities and adaptability to diverse environments in different regions.
Meanwhile, the Chinese and Thai militaries are holding the Falcon Strike 2026 joint air force training in Thailand in August.
The Chinese side will send multiple types of aircraft and units, including ground-based air defense forces. The two sides will train on subjects such as joint air defense and humanitarian assistance and disaster relief. The training marks the ninth of its kind between the two air forces and is aimed at further deepening the traditional friendship and practical cooperation between China and Thailand, Senior Colonel Jiang Bin, a spokesperson for the Ministry of National Defense, said on July 30.
According to a video posted by state broadcaster CCTV on August 13, China's Y-20 transport aircraft, J-10C fighter jets and J-10S fighter-trainers, and JAS 39 Gripen fighter jets and Alpha Jet light attack/trainer aircraft from Thailand participated in the drill.
A J-10C fighter jet Photo: VCGAccording to Wang Ya'nan, the simultaneous execution of different exercises in three countries demonstrates the PLA Air Force's strategic reach. The ability to conduct concurrent joint training with Belarus in China, Thailand in Southeast Asia and Egypt in Africa reflects the PLA Air Force's growing capacity for global engagement and rapid deployment.
The Zhisheng (Victory) documentary series released around Army Day also showcased the PLA Air Force's capabilities.
Footage revealed the systematic application of three types of UAVs providing intelligence support to the PLA Army, Navy and Rocket Force, with the GJ-3A armed reconnaissance drone making its first public appearance. The footage also showed an H-6N bomber carrying a large missile under its fuselage, which a Chinese expert said could be a powerful air-launched ballistic missile capable of conducting anti-ship or ground-strike missions. Some reports identified the large missile as the nuclear-capable JL-1.
The PLA Air Force is building a modern force that is versatile, agile and capable of operating across domains, ready to safeguard China's national interests and contribute to regional peace, Wang Ya'nan noted.
。过去六年，泽连斯基执政期间，国家经历了无数挫折，如今他面临着战争带来的前所未有的巨大压力。随着前线战斗的加剧，乌克兰政府迫不得已采取强制动员。然而，这一措施不仅加剧了民众的不满，也让本就脆弱的士气雪上加霜。 8月22日，《乌克兰真理报》报道称，在乌克兰西部重镇利沃夫市，因征兵行动与警方合作进行的动员行动发生了一起恶性事件，一名年轻男子持刀袭击了正在执行任务的征兵军官，导致后者不幸遇害。 这并非个案，自2025年12月以来，利沃夫地区已经发生多起因征兵冲突而致人死亡的事件。这些悲剧如同警钟般敲响，映射出人们对政府政策的深切不满和恐惧。 利沃夫，这座历史悠久且具有浓厚民族主义传统的城市，曾是乌克兰反俄运动的核心。作为“思想首都”，这里的民众曾经呼吁为国家的未来而誓死战斗。
二 | 然而，随着战争的持续和损失的加剧，当初口号式的爱国情怀逐渐被对生死的恐惧所侵蚀。面对真实的战斗，每个人的选择都变得更加复杂。
三 | 在远离前线的相对安全区，喊喊口号容易，但将自己置于战火之中，却是另一番体验。 随着冲突的升级，特别是在顿巴斯主战场上，俄军已经逐渐逼近城镇，乌克兰前线的缺人状况日益严重。为了弥补兵员不足，政府推出了更为严厉的征兵政策，甚至要求街头执法人员和警察进行全面检查，直接从大街小巷带走适龄男子。
四 | 这样的强制措施使得许多普通民众陷入了恐慌，甚至开始出现抵抗行为。 更令人担忧的是，在这些强制措施背后，诸多暴力执法事件接二连三地发生。近日，乌克兰国家调查局的通报显示，某征兵处的执法人员存在暴力行为，包括驾车撞击逃跑的民众、强行拘留等。
五 | 这不仅是对基本人权的侵犯，更是民众与政府之间信任破裂的明证。完全通过暴力手段来推动征兵政策，只会导致更深层次的社会动荡和人心浮动。
六 | 值得注意的是，《泰晤士报》近日分析称，2026年可能是泽连斯基执政生涯中最艰难的一年。
七 | 这一预测绝非空穴来风，随着各种危机的集聚，从乌克兰政府内部腐败问题到公众对战争的抵触情绪愈演愈烈，泽连斯基面临的挑战可谓层出不穷。正如前防长费多罗夫公开呼吁在战时举行总统选举，直接对现政府发起挑战，不禁让人怀疑，这样的局势是否还能支撑多久？ 面对如此多的困难，泽连斯基是否能够稳住乌克兰这艘动荡不安的船呢？许多乌克兰民众在纠结与矛盾中生活着，他们既不愿意让国家领土被侵占，又深怕自己成为无辜的牺牲品。
八 | 在长期消耗的战争背景下，人们的心理状态已经发生了深刻变化——以往的激昂斗志被无尽的痛苦和无奈所取代。 众所周知，战争会揭示人性的极限，一方面，它放大了个人和集体的勇气与崇高理想；另一方面，制度的漏洞和权力的滥用也在战争的阴影下显露无遗。对于乌克兰来说，目前的局势是一个巨大的考验，如何平衡战争的需要与民众的接受度，将直接影响国家的未来。 泽连斯基政府所面临的挑战不仅仅是军事层面的，更多的是不断增长的民间抗议情绪、内部的腐败问题、以及外部的施压。
九 | 解决这些问题需要的不仅是军事上的胜利，更是对民众心声的关注与回应。未来的路途既艰难又充满不确定性，但唯有重塑信任、增强内部分歧的凝聚力，才能为国家的未来创造一条光明的道路。 因此，泽连斯基及其政府急需找到与民众沟通的有效途径，缓解社会紧张，让每一个乌克兰人都能看到希望，而不是面对无尽的黑暗与绝望。在这一过程中，任何一项轻率的决策或忽视民意的行为，都可能成为国家动荡的导火索。毕竟，只有当领导者真正聆听人民的声音，才能树立起一个团结坚韧的民族形象，为乌克兰的未来注入新的活力与希望。
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